Overview:
As Mongolia continues to
experience rapid GDP and population growth, the availability of affordable
mortgage financing for people seeking proper accommodation in Mongolia is in
high demand. Similarly, as Mongolia’s financial system deepens, housing finance emerges
as an increasingly important part of the maturation of its financial system. In emerging markets, the maturation of financial
systems appears to lead to the development of housing finance, and this deeper,
more extensive financial system, in turn, contributes to higher rates of
growth.
However, while the need for
housing finance in Mongolia is obvious, the 40,000 homes project illustrated
the country’s lack of a fully developed and reliable mortgage system. Many
banks in Mongolia simply do not have the financial expertise to offer
attractive mortgage loan packages or even provide the liquidity and the
necessary legal framework to deliver the loans. Consequently, Mongolia’s
mortgage market faces a variety of structural and procedural issues that must
be resolved before ordinary Mongolians can have access to financing for house
purchases and in turn contribute to Mongolia’s economic growth.
A Brief History:
The institutional structure
of the present Mongolian housing finance market has been under development
since 1997, when the Asian Development Bank and the Government of Mongolia
initiated a drive to create legal and policy frameworks and standardized
documentation for mortgage loans in Mongolia. However, the first loans were not
offered until May of 2003 under the ADB’s Housing Finance Sector Program. Since
then, the Government of Mongolia has enacted legislation such as the Mortgage
Collateral Law and the Asset-Backed Securities Law as a means of regulating
Mongolia’s mortgage market and more recently, has undertaken action to simplify
origination processes and lower origination costs. In 2007, the Bank of Mongolia partnered with the National Statistic Committee (NSC) to develop a
methodology for computing a Housing Price Index in Mongolia, which is computed
on a quarterly basis.
In order to support an efficient primary mortgage
market, an incredible amount of progress needs to be made to improve the current
mechanisms for property appraisal and credit risk assessment. Lack of information continues to hamper efforts to
expand mortgage lending in Mongolia. For example, credit history information,
which is stored by the Bank of Mongolia is extremely limited and is often out
of date, making it hard for banks to measure the risk of their loans
accurately. The Bank of Mongolia only carries information about the current
status and not about loan performance and information from non-banking
financial institutions is not stored, making it impossible to observe the
history of a creditors utilities or telecom payment history. The debt to income ratio (ratio between monthly
mortgage repayments including insurance and taxes and gross monthly income) is
used
to analyze a borrower’s capacity to
repay a mortgage loan, yet there is no uniform method of calculating this. For
foreign citizens, housing finance in nearly impossible to find, as the majority
of commercial banks have policies that explicitly restrict lending to foreign
citizens.
Before
mortgages can become affordable the real estate market must also adapt by developing
professional surveying and valuing services that will underpin a market
undergirded by fundamental property values as well as supply and demand dynamics
to provide extra security for lending institutions. Furthermore, the sanctity of property rights should be
reviewed to make it easier for banks to foreclose on property attached to
defaulted loans. Without the assurance of being able to foreclose on immovable
property most commercial banks are unwilling to risk lower interest rates as in
the event of default they presently have little certainty of obtaining a
collateralized property asset. Although great breakthroughs have been made in
recent years, much work is still need in order to make foreclosure a simple and
dynamic process.
The Secondary Mortgage
Market:
The
development of the secondary mortgage market through the establishment of the
Mongolia Mortgage Corporation (MIK) in 2006 is one way the Government of Mongolia is attempting to provide increased access to housing finance. By
issuing bonds on foreign and domestic markets, MIK will provide long-term funds
to the Housing Finance Sector (HFS). The current shareholders of the Mongolian Mortgage Corporation are Bank of Mongolia and nine commercial banks. In 2009
MIK was approved to issue 25 Billion MNT in securitized mortgage bonds, 6.3
billion of which were sold between 2009 and 2010.
The
market for MIK bonds is small since the main investors are all banks and there
is a distinct lack of institutional investors. There is also an absence of
rating agencies and a market based yield curve, as well as no constant issuance
of government bond. The premise of
mortgage securities in on the existence of supportive legal and regulatory
framework, sizable and standardized primary mortgage markets, and
well-developed bond markets. Specialized lenders can create efficiencies;
however they need an external funding source such as a government lending
window or secondary market. Their viability will ultimately depend on the
willingness of investors to buy mortgage-backed securities and provide
short-term funding, which in turn depends on their confidence in the credit
quality of the underlying assets.
The
potential benefits of a highly successful secondary mortgage market are many.
Primarily, the MIK has the ability to raise large funds for subsidized housing
finance, such as the 100,000 Homes Project, as well as increase the liquidity and efficiency of the housing
finance system. If executed correctly, a thriving secondary mortgage market can
even lower interest rates by encouraging the development of a new industry of
loan originators.
Conversely,
a major challenge for MIK in the next two or three years will be to preserve
and enhance its private-sector-led status. Given the failure of government-created
agencies to promote housing, MIK may become an attractive target for GOM
investment and control. Current shareholders will have to decide whether to
move more aggressively to enhance MIK’s current preeminent market position by,
among other things, developing and issuing investment- grade mortgage-backed
securities or losing control.
Conclusion:
The
experience of the 1990s suggests that the provision of housing finance can
exacerbate macro volatility. The volatility of housing prices and the potential
for a boom-bust is higher if the housing supply is severely constrained by land
access and urban regulation problems, which is an issue considering the short
supply of land in UB with access to critical infrastructure. Going forward, the
Government of Mongolia must also enact mechanisms to ensure the transparency of
housing finance processes as well as create a more elastic supply of housing in
order to reduce the probability of adverse real estate cycles and sharp run-ups
in house prices. A strong but nimble and delimited public role in sector
development is critical for the deployment of the measures.
Certainly, the extension of mortgage
markets also relies upon a well functioning secondary market, which will rely
on the ability of MIK to prepare and sell mortgage backed securities. The
regulatory framework governing mortgage providers must also improve drastically
if commercial banks are to eliminate some of the risks that push up interest
rates on mortgages. These requirements are presently being worked through by
the Government of Mongolia in cooperation with several multilateral organizations in
order that Mongolia’s mortgage market can fuel growth in the property sector
and contribute a solution to Ulaanbaatar’s housing shortage.
A
stable, growing economy will encourage the growth of the housing finance system
through lower inflation, lower interest rates, and lower systemic risk. In this
evolutionary perspective, beyond a certain level of per capita income, housing
finance will emerge with household demand for it; that is, as long as the
macro, legal, and housing-market regulation environments are conducive to its
emergence. In such cases, a virtuous circle can emerge as growth if the
financial system promotes overall economic growth, and this higher growth, in
turn, will encourage both further financial-sector and housing-finance
development.
If you’d like to learn more about news in Mongolia, visit Mongoliana, Mongolia’s premier news source for all things Mongolia. If you’re interested in investing in real estate in Mongolia, check out Mongolian Properties, Mongolia’s leading property developer and real estate agency.
If you’d like to learn more about news in Mongolia, visit Mongoliana, Mongolia’s premier news source for all things Mongolia. If you’re interested in investing in real estate in Mongolia, check out Mongolian Properties, Mongolia’s leading property developer and real estate agency.